Clin Res Cardiol (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00392-023-02180-w

Echocardiographic and clinical predictors of short- and long-term outcomes in severe aortic stenosis patients with preserved or reduced left ventricular ejection fraction
V. Sokalski1, D. Liu2, K. Hu2, S. Frantz2, P. Nordbeck2
1Medizinische Klinik und Poliklinik I, ZIM Kardiologie, Universitätsklinikum Würzburg, Würzburg; 2Medizinische Klinik und Poliklinik I, Universitätsklinikum Würzburg, Würzburg;
Aims Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has emerged as the treatment of choice in non-operable patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis. We sought to identify the clinical and echocardiographic predictors of short-term (30-day) and long-term (1-year) outcomes in patients with preserved or reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) after TAVI.

Methods This single-center study included 618 consecutive aortic stenosis patients (mean age 82±6 years, 47.1% male; median EuroSCORE II 5.0%, quartiles 3.2-9.0%, 76.5% LVEF≥50%) who underwent TAVI between July 2009 and October 2018 in our hospital. Clinical and echocardiographic data were collected and analysed. All patients completed at least 6-months follow-up by medical history review or telephone interview (median 24, quartiles 12-42 months). The primary endpoint was defined as all-cause death.

Result Overall all-cause mortality was 45.1% (279/618). All-cause mortality at 30-day and 12-month were 5.2% (32/618) and 15.4% (95/618), respectively. Beside age, sex and BMI, the additional clinical covariates related to 30-day mortality included the use of amiodarone; while peripheral vascular disease, atrial fibrillation, the uses of amiodarone and antiplatelet drugs, and increased C-reactive protein level were revealed as additional clinical covariates of 12-month mortality. Risk factors related to overall mortality were peripheral vascular disease, atrial fibrillation, the use of amiodarone, increased urea and C-reactive protein levels. 

Left ventricular ejection fraction was similar between survivors and non-survivors in all three subgroups (57.7±13.3% vs. 56.9±11.7% p=0.454 at overall mortality, 57.5±12.5% vs. 54.7±14.0% p=0.225 at 30-day mortality, 57.5±12.9% vs. 56.5±11.1% p=0.453 at 12-month mortality). Further multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that lower TAPSE and septal MAPSE, higher septal E/e´ and sPAP were echocardiographic parameters related to increased risk of death post TAVI. In detail, septal E/e´≥28 remained as independent predictor of 30-day (HR 2.93, p=0.015), 12-month (HR 1.69, p=0.031), and overall mortality (HR 1.44, p=0.013) after adjustment for transapical approach, and aforementioned clinical confounders. Additionally, lower TAPSE (≤14mm, HR 1.35, p=0.041) and septal MAPSE (≤6mm, HR 1.37, p=0.018) were also independently associated with increased overall all-cause mortality after adjustment for transapical approach and clinical confounders. sPAP remained as an independent predictor of 30-day mortality post TAVI after adjustment for transapical approach and clinical confounders (5mmHg increase, HR 1.13, p=0.036). 

Conclusions 
LVEF is not a predictor of short and long-term mortality after TAVI. Therefore reduced LVEF should not prevent patients from undergoing TAVI. Left ventricular filling pressure (E/e´), systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP), TAPSE and septal MAPSE represent risk factors for increased mortality post TAVI and should be assessed preinterventionally.

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